shopify inventory disagrees for Rain Shell Medium
Potential exposure
$2,048.34
Verified loss
—
Confidence
high 96%
Why?
- Warehouse inventory authority is high
- Event ledger reconstructs expected available including reserved
- SKU mapping is exact (100%)
- Source snapshot is within the audit window
What happened
Shadow state expects 70 sellable units of RAIN-SHELL-M. shopify reports 49. Difference: -21 units.
Why we think this happened
Sales, receipts and reservations reconcile to 70 available, but shopify never absorbed 21 unit(s). Typical causes: failed inventory webhook, location mapping gap, or unrecorded damage at the storefront.
Calculation
21 units × $97.54 contribution = $2,048.34 potential exposure. Not booked as loss until the missing units are proven unsellable.
potential_exposure = abs(observed_available - expected_available) × contribution_margin_per_unit
Evidence
Expected available · axiotra · RAIN-SHELL-M
opening 70 + receipts 25 + returns 0 + damaged -1 − sold 20 − reserved 4
70
shopify available · shopify · RAIN-SHELL-M
shopify-default on_hand=53 available=49 reserved=4
49
Warehouse available · warehouse · RAIN-SHELL-M
authority=high on_hand=74
70
Unit contribution · axiotra · RAIN-SHELL-M
Sale $164.00 Discount −$0.00 COGS −$52.00 Marketplace fee −$0.00 Payment fee −$4.76 Shipping −$6.50 Refund impact −$0.00 Fulfillment −$3.20 -------------------------------- Contribution profit $97.54
$2,048.34
Timeline
2026-09-11 21:00:00 UTC
Opening on-hand reconstructed
axiotra · 70 units
2026-08-20 09:00:00 UTC
Warehouse receipt
warehouse · +25
2026-09-11 10:14:00 UTC
shopify available observed
shopify · 49 vs expected 70
Recommended action
Re-read warehouse and storefront inventory. If warehouse remains authoritative and no open return exists, recommend a +correction on the storefront after approval.
Autopilot eligibility: human approval required
Displayed amount $2,048.34 is potential exposure — not a promise of recovery.