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Northwind Outdoor Co.

Console

DEMO DATA
← All findings
highlikely lossconfirmedDEMO DATA

Base Layer Small sells at negative contribution on Amazon

Potential exposure

$247.80

Verified loss

Confidence

high 97%

Why?
  • COGS from uploaded cost record
  • Amazon referral fee from financial event
  • Fulfillment cost assumed $4.00/unit (declared)
  • No FX — USD throughout

What happened

Each Amazon unit of BASE-LAYER-S produces -$61.95 contribution. 4 units in the window.

Why we think this happened

List price is below the sum of COGS, marketplace fee, and fulfillment. This is arithmetic, not a model.

Calculation

Sale                     $48.00
Discount                 −$0.00
COGS                     −$18.25
Marketplace fee          −$7.20
Payment fee              −$0.00
Shipping                 −$9.00
Refund impact            −$0.00
Fulfillment              −$4.00
--------------------------------
Contribution profit       $9.55
Units in window: 4
Aggregated contribution: -$247.80

contribution = sale − discount − cogs − marketplace_fee − payment_fee − shipping − refund_impact − fulfillment

Evidence

  • Contribution · axiotra · BASE-LAYER-S

    Sale $48.00 Discount −$0.00 COGS −$18.25 Marketplace fee −$7.20 Payment fee −$0.00 Shipping −$9.00 Refund impact −$0.00 Fulfillment −$4.00 -------------------------------- Contribution profit $9.55

    -$61.95

Timeline

  1. 2026-09-10 14:25:00 UTC

    Amazon order at negative contribution

    amazon · 113-2948029

Recommended action

Raise price, cut the Amazon listing, or renegotiate cost. AXIOTRA will not change price without approval.

Autopilot eligibility: human approval required

Displayed amount $247.80 is likely loss — not a promise of recovery.