Skip to content

Northwind Outdoor Co.

Console

DEMO DATA
← All findings
highlikely lossconfirmedDEMO DATA

Camp Stove Compact sells at negative contribution on Amazon

Potential exposure

$265.80

Verified loss

Confidence

high 97%

Why?
  • COGS from uploaded cost record
  • Amazon referral fee from financial event
  • Fulfillment cost assumed $4.00/unit (declared)
  • No FX — USD throughout

What happened

Each Amazon unit of CAMP-STOVE-2 produces -$88.60 contribution. 3 units in the window.

Why we think this happened

List price is below the sum of COGS, marketplace fee, and fulfillment. This is arithmetic, not a model.

Calculation

Sale                     $89.00
Discount                 −$0.00
COGS                     −$28.50
Marketplace fee          −$13.35
Payment fee              −$0.00
Shipping                 −$9.00
Refund impact            −$0.00
Fulfillment              −$4.00
--------------------------------
Contribution profit       $34.15
Units in window: 3
Aggregated contribution: -$265.80

contribution = sale − discount − cogs − marketplace_fee − payment_fee − shipping − refund_impact − fulfillment

Evidence

  • Contribution · axiotra · CAMP-STOVE-2

    Sale $89.00 Discount −$0.00 COGS −$28.50 Marketplace fee −$13.35 Payment fee −$0.00 Shipping −$9.00 Refund impact −$0.00 Fulfillment −$4.00 -------------------------------- Contribution profit $34.15

    -$88.60

Timeline

  1. 2026-08-31 08:07:00 UTC

    Amazon order at negative contribution

    amazon · 113-2948019

Recommended action

Raise price, cut the Amazon listing, or renegotiate cost. AXIOTRA will not change price without approval.

Autopilot eligibility: human approval required

Displayed amount $265.80 is likely loss — not a promise of recovery.