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Northwind Outdoor Co.

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DEMO DATA
← All findings
highlikely lossconfirmedDEMO DATA

Dry Bag 20L sells at negative contribution on Amazon

Potential exposure

$56.00

Verified loss

Confidence

high 97%

Why?
  • COGS from uploaded cost record
  • Amazon referral fee from financial event
  • Fulfillment cost assumed $4.00/unit (declared)
  • No FX — USD throughout

What happened

Each Amazon unit of DRYBAG-20L produces -$14.00 contribution. 4 units in the window.

Why we think this happened

List price is below the sum of COGS, marketplace fee, and fulfillment. This is arithmetic, not a model.

Calculation

Sale                     $32.00
Discount                 −$0.00
COGS                     −$9.40
Marketplace fee          −$4.80
Payment fee              −$0.00
Shipping                 −$9.00
Refund impact            −$0.00
Fulfillment              −$4.00
--------------------------------
Contribution profit       $4.80
Units in window: 4
Aggregated contribution: -$56.00

contribution = sale − discount − cogs − marketplace_fee − payment_fee − shipping − refund_impact − fulfillment

Evidence

  • Contribution · axiotra · DRYBAG-20L

    Sale $32.00 Discount −$0.00 COGS −$9.40 Marketplace fee −$4.80 Payment fee −$0.00 Shipping −$9.00 Refund impact −$0.00 Fulfillment −$4.00 -------------------------------- Contribution profit $4.80

    -$14.00

Timeline

  1. 2026-08-13 16:47:00 UTC

    Amazon order at negative contribution

    amazon · 113-2948031

Recommended action

Raise price, cut the Amazon listing, or renegotiate cost. AXIOTRA will not change price without approval.

Autopilot eligibility: human approval required

Displayed amount $56.00 is likely loss — not a promise of recovery.