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Northwind Outdoor Co.

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DEMO DATA
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highlikely lossconfirmedDEMO DATA

Rain Shell Medium sells at negative contribution on Amazon

Potential exposure

$232.00

Verified loss

Confidence

high 97%

Why?
  • COGS from uploaded cost record
  • Amazon referral fee from financial event
  • Fulfillment cost assumed $4.00/unit (declared)
  • No FX — USD throughout

What happened

Each Amazon unit of RAIN-SHELL-M produces -$46.40 contribution. 5 units in the window.

Why we think this happened

List price is below the sum of COGS, marketplace fee, and fulfillment. This is arithmetic, not a model.

Calculation

Sale                     $164.00
Discount                 −$0.00
COGS                     −$52.00
Marketplace fee          −$24.60
Payment fee              −$0.00
Shipping                 −$9.00
Refund impact            −$0.00
Fulfillment              −$4.00
--------------------------------
Contribution profit       $74.40
Units in window: 5
Aggregated contribution: -$232.00

contribution = sale − discount − cogs − marketplace_fee − payment_fee − shipping − refund_impact − fulfillment

Evidence

  • Contribution · axiotra · RAIN-SHELL-M

    Sale $164.00 Discount −$0.00 COGS −$52.00 Marketplace fee −$24.60 Payment fee −$0.00 Shipping −$9.00 Refund impact −$0.00 Fulfillment −$4.00 -------------------------------- Contribution profit $74.40

    -$46.40

Timeline

  1. 2026-08-13 14:37:00 UTC

    Amazon order at negative contribution

    amazon · 113-2948001

Recommended action

Raise price, cut the Amazon listing, or renegotiate cost. AXIOTRA will not change price without approval.

Autopilot eligibility: human approval required

Displayed amount $232.00 is likely loss — not a promise of recovery.