Skip to content

Northwind Outdoor Co.

Console

DEMO DATA
← All findings
highlikely lossconfirmedDEMO DATA

Trail Boot Size 9 sells at negative contribution on Amazon

Potential exposure

$230.00

Verified loss

Confidence

high 97%

Why?
  • COGS from uploaded cost record
  • Amazon referral fee from financial event
  • Fulfillment cost assumed $4.00/unit (declared)
  • No FX — USD throughout

What happened

Each Amazon unit of TRAIL-BOOT-9 produces -$46.00 contribution. 5 units in the window.

Why we think this happened

List price is below the sum of COGS, marketplace fee, and fulfillment. This is arithmetic, not a model.

Calculation

Sale                     $120.00
Discount                 −$0.00
COGS                     −$43.00
Marketplace fee          −$18.00
Payment fee              −$0.00
Shipping                 −$9.00
Refund impact            −$0.00
Fulfillment              −$4.00
--------------------------------
Contribution profit       $46.00
Units in window: 5
Aggregated contribution: -$230.00

contribution = sale − discount − cogs − marketplace_fee − payment_fee − shipping − refund_impact − fulfillment

Evidence

  • Contribution · axiotra · TRAIL-BOOT-9

    Sale $120.00 Discount −$0.00 COGS −$43.00 Marketplace fee −$18.00 Payment fee −$0.00 Shipping −$9.00 Refund impact −$0.00 Fulfillment −$4.00 -------------------------------- Contribution profit $46.00

    -$46.00

Timeline

  1. 2026-08-18 15:10:00 UTC

    Amazon order at negative contribution

    amazon · 113-2948006

Recommended action

Raise price, cut the Amazon listing, or renegotiate cost. AXIOTRA will not change price without approval.

Autopilot eligibility: human approval required

Displayed amount $230.00 is likely loss — not a promise of recovery.