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Northwind Outdoor Co.

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DEMO DATA
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highpotential exposuredetectedDEMO DATA

Refund issued for SO-1004 — return received, inventory not restored

Potential exposure

$359.00

Verified loss

Confidence

high 93%

Why?
  • Refund exists at the payment provider
  • Warehouse RETURN_RECEIVED event present
  • No INVENTORY_RECEIVED / restock after grace period

What happened

Customer was refunded $273.50. The warehouse recorded the return. Sellable inventory was never incremented.

Why we think this happened

Restock job skipped after a failed webhook, or the return was coded as unsellable without a damaged adjustment.

Calculation

Refunded $273.50 + stranded COGS $85.50 = $359.00 potential exposure. The refund is a verified cash event; the missing restock is potential until the unit is located.

potential_exposure = refund.amount + (restock_missing ? cogs × qty : 0)

Evidence

  • Refund · shopify · re_SO-1004

    order=SO-1004

    $273.50

  • Return received · warehouse · ret_SO-1004

    restocked=false

    CAMP-STOVE-2

Timeline

  1. 2026-08-15 08:35:00 UTC

    Order created

    shopify · SO-1004

  2. 2026-08-24 08:35:00 UTC

    Refund issued

    shopify · $273.50

  3. 2026-08-24 08:35:00 UTC

    Return received

    warehouse · Unit scanned in

  4. 2026-08-24 08:35:00 UTC

    Restock missing

    axiotra · No inventory increment after grace period

Recommended action

Locate the unit. If sellable, restock and re-list. Autopilot may only retry the inventory increment after policy checks — never issue a second refund.

Autopilot eligibility: human approval required

Displayed amount $359.00 is potential exposure — not a promise of recovery.