Refund issued for 113-2948061 — return received, inventory not restored
Potential exposure
$198.75
Verified loss
—
Confidence
high 93%
Why?
- Refund exists at the payment provider
- Warehouse RETURN_RECEIVED event present
- No INVENTORY_RECEIVED / restock after grace period
What happened
Customer was refunded $144.00. The warehouse recorded the return. Sellable inventory was never incremented.
Why we think this happened
Restock job skipped after a failed webhook, or the return was coded as unsellable without a damaged adjustment.
Calculation
Refunded $144.00 + stranded COGS $54.75 = $198.75 potential exposure. The refund is a verified cash event; the missing restock is potential until the unit is located.
potential_exposure = refund.amount + (restock_missing ? cogs × qty : 0)
Evidence
Refund · amazon · re_113-2948061
order=113-2948061
$144.00
Return received · warehouse · ret_113-2948061
restocked=false
BASE-LAYER-S
Timeline
2026-08-13 18:45:00 UTC
Order created
amazon · 113-2948061
2026-08-22 18:45:00 UTC
Refund issued
amazon · $144.00
2026-08-22 18:45:00 UTC
Return received
warehouse · Unit scanned in
2026-08-22 18:45:00 UTC
Restock missing
axiotra · No inventory increment after grace period
Recommended action
Locate the unit. If sellable, restock and re-list. Autopilot may only retry the inventory increment after policy checks — never issue a second refund.
Autopilot eligibility: human approval required
Displayed amount $198.75 is potential exposure — not a promise of recovery.